Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020794 0.022365 0.023998 0.025824 0.027810 0.029907 0.032290
2026-01-04 0.018152 0.020407 0.022873 0.025774 0.029102 0.032811 0.037269
2026-01-11 0.016481 0.019145 0.022167 0.025862 0.030276 0.035403 0.041840
2026-01-18 0.015216 0.018145 0.021569 0.025889 0.031225 0.037637 0.045987
2026-01-25 0.014279 0.017414 0.021174 0.026049 0.032246 0.039921 0.050241
2026-02-01 0.013305 0.016543 0.020514 0.025784 0.032654 0.041392 0.053482
2026-02-08 0.012403 0.015687 0.019795 0.025362 0.032786 0.042458 0.056193
2026-02-15 0.011714 0.015052 0.019305 0.025181 0.033187 0.043854 0.059379
2026-02-22 0.011069 0.014430 0.018784 0.024910 0.033421 0.045002 0.062250
2026-03-01 0.010522 0.013904 0.018355 0.024723 0.033738 0.046251 0.065302
2026-03-08 0.010030 0.013422 0.017953 0.024541 0.034032 0.047458 0.068333
2026-03-15 0.009658 0.013084 0.017726 0.024581 0.034629 0.049109 0.072097
2026-03-22 0.009222 0.012651 0.017365 0.024439 0.034993 0.050499 0.075654
2026-03-29 0.008847 0.012289 0.017088 0.024404 0.035516 0.052159 0.079755
2026-04-05 0.008539 0.012003 0.016903 0.024489 0.036213 0.054110 0.084432
2026-04-12 0.008237 0.011711 0.016690 0.024515 0.036810 0.055924 0.088990
2026-04-19 0.007991 0.011489 0.016568 0.024665 0.037598 0.058072 0.094232
2026-04-26 0.007657 0.011117 0.016203 0.024416 0.037729 0.059153 0.097712
2026-05-03 0.007307 0.010708 0.015760 0.024019 0.037594 0.059777 0.100419
2026-05-10 0.007037 0.010408 0.015471 0.023850 0.037815 0.060996 0.104248
2026-05-17 0.006763 0.010090 0.015140 0.023595 0.037875 0.061935 0.107616
2026-05-24 0.006524 0.009818 0.014867 0.023419 0.038055 0.063083 0.111432
2026-05-31 0.006300 0.009559 0.014606 0.023248 0.038229 0.064220 0.115292